Researchers discover new model for predicting the effects of osteoporosis on the general public

An article recently published in the journal Osteoporosis International demonstrates a new model that describes the current and future issues related to postmenopausal osteoporosis.

Researchers working for the International Osteoporosis Foundation's Committee of Scientific Advisors developed a model that can be used to forecast the incidence and prevalence of fractures not only by age and calendar year, but also by bone mineral density status.

The model provides a high degree of accuracy, as the prediction of rates for fracture sites were within a 5 percent margin of error, compared with published data.

A serious increase in the number of osteoporotic fractures is expected in Europe, where the proportion of the population aged 65 or over will grow from 17 percent in 2008 to 30 percent in 2060. Even more increases are projected in other regions of the world, particularly in Asia where a 7.6-fold growth in elderly people is predicted between 2000 and 2050.

Early diagnosis and effective fracture prevention strategies could translate into increased quality of life for people around the world.